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 Further Enquiries CIES Dr. Ernesto Valenzuela  |
Program Publications0604 Siregar, Reza Y. and Rajan, Ramkishen S.,
"Models of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates Revisited: A Selective
Review of the Literature", August 2006 0602 Pontines, Victor and Siregar, Reza Y., "Fundamental
Pitfalls of Exchange Market Pressure-Based 0601 Pontines, Victor and Siregar, Reza Y., "Exchange
Market Intervention and Evidence of 0520 Siregar, Reza Y. and Pontines, Victor, "External
Debt and Exchange Rate Overshooting: The Case of Selected East Asian
Countries", October 2005 0512 Stein, Jerome L., “Optimal debt and
equilibrium exchange rates in a Stochastic Environment: An Overview”,
June 2005 0509 Li, Jie and Rajan, Ramkishen S., “Can
High Reserves Offset Weak Fundamentals? A Simple Model of Precautionary
Demand for Reserves”, June 2005 0507 Ouyang, Alice Y. and Rajan, Ramkishen S.,
“Monetary Sterilization in China Since the 1990s: How Much
and How Effective?”, June 2005 0503 Cavoli, Tony and Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Have
Exchange Rate Regimes in Asia Become More Flexible in Asia Post
Crisis? Re-visiting the Evidence" January 2005 0502 Cavoli, Tony, "Sterilisation, Capital
Mobility and Interest Rate Determination for East Asia" February
2005 0501 Marrewijk, Charles Van, "Basic Exchange
Rate Theories" February 2005 0414 Marrewijk, Charles Van and Koen G. Berden,
"On the Static and Dynamic Costs of Trade Restrictions"
November 2004 0407 Marrewijk, Charles Van, “An
Introduction to International Money and Foreign Exchange Markets”,
October 2004 0406 Pontines, Victor and Reza Y. Siregar,
“The Yen, The US dollar and The Speculative Attacks Against
The Thailand Baht”, October 2004 0404 Pontines, Victor and Reza Y. Siregar,
“Successful and Unsuccessful Attacks:Evaluating the Stability
of the East Asian Currencies”, August 2004 0401 Cavoli, Tony., Ramkishen S. Rajan, and
Reza Siregar “A Survey of Financial Integration in East
Asia: How Far? How Much Further to Go?”, January 2004. 0323 Rajan, Ramkishin, Reza Siregar and Graham
Bird, "Examining the Case for Reserve Pooling in East Asia:
Empirical Analysis", September 2003. 0318 Bentick, Brian L. and Mervyn K Lewis,
“Real Estate Speculation as a Source of Banking and Currency
Instability: Lessons from the Asian Crisis”, July 2003. 0317 Barreto, Raul A. and Kaori Kobayashi,
“Open Economy Schumpeterian Growth”, May 2003 0316 Barreto, Raul A. and Kaori Kobayashi,
“Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth Revisited:
Pro-competitive Gains from Trade in Goods and the Long Run Benefits
to the Exchange of Ideas”, May 2003. 0315 Wilson, Patrick J. and Ralf Zurbruegg,
“Trends and Spectral Response: An Examination of
the US Realty Market”, May 2003. 0314 Esho, Neil and Anatoly Kirievsky, Damian
Ward and Ralf Zurbruegg, “Law and the Demand for Property-Casualty
Insurance Consumption”, May 2003. (Forthcoming in Journal
of Risk and Insurance, 2003). 0313 Wilson, Patrick J. and Ralf Zurbruegg, “Does it Pay to Diversify Real Estate Assets? - A Literary
Perspective”, May 2003.
0312 Rajan, Ramkishen, “Taxing International Currency
Flows: A Financial Safeguard or Financial Bonanza?”, April
2003.
0311 Rajan, Ramkishen, “Financial Crisis, Capital Outflows
and Policy Responses: Simple Analytics and Examples from East Asia”,
April 2003.
0310 Cavoli, Tony and Ramkishen Rajan, “Exchange Rate
Arrangements for East Asia Post-Crisis: Examining the Case for Open
Economy Inflation Targeting”, April 2003. (Forthcoming in
F. Columbus (ed.), Asian Economic and Political Issues Vo.
5, Commack, NY: Nova Science Publishers, forthcoming 2003/2004.)
0309 Cavoli, Tony and Ramkishen Rajan, "Designing Appropriate
Exchange Rate Regimes for East Asia: Inflation Targeting and Monetary
Policy Rules", April 2003.
0308 Allsopp, Louise, "Speculative Behaviour, Debt Default and
Contagion: An Explanation of the Latin American Crisis 2001-2002",
March 2003.
0305 Allsopp, Louise, "Venezuela: A Nation In Need of Reform",
March 2003. 0304 Allsopp, Louise and Rafl Zurbruegg, "Purchasing Power
Parity in East Asia: Why all the Fuss?", March 2003.
0303 Allsopp, Louise and Ralf Zurbruegg, "Purchasing Power Parity
and the Impact of the East Asian Currency Crisis", March 2003.
0302 Siregar, Reza and Ramkishen Rajan, "Exchange Rate Policy
and Foreign Exchange Reserves Management in Indonesia in the Context
of East Asian Monetary Regionalism" March 2003.
0229 Rajanguru, Gulasekaran and Reza Siregar, "Sources of Variations
Between the Inflation Rates of Korea, Thailand and Indonesia During
The Post-1997 Crisis". November 2002. 0226 Rajan, Ramkishen and Rahul Sen, "Liberalisation of
Financial Services in Southeast Asia under the ASEAN Framework Agreement
on Services (AFAS)" October 2002. (Published in
Journal of International Banking Law, 18(3): 132-4, 2003.) 0222 Rajan, Ramkishen and Graham Bird, “Will Asian
Economies Gain from Liberalizing Trade in Services?” September
2002. (Published in Journal of World Trade, 36(6): 1061-1069,
2002.) 0221 Siregar, Reza Y. and Gulasekaran Rajaguru, “Base
Money and Exchange Rate: Sources of Inflation in Indonesia during
the Post-1997 Financial Crisis” August 2002. 0220 Rajan, Ramkishen, “International Financial Liberalisation
in Developing Countries: Lessons from Recent Experiences”
July 2002. (Published in Economic and Political Weekly 37
(29): 3017-21, July 20-26, 2002). 0219 Rajan, Ramkishen, Reza Siregar and Graham Bird, “Capital
Flows and Regional Financial Interdependencies in the Context of
Crises: Evidence From East Asia” August 2002. 0218 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen Rajan, “The Political
Economy of A Trade-First Approach to Regionalism”, July 2002.
0217 Rajan, Ramkishen and Rahul Sen, "Liberalisation of
International Trade in Financial Services in Southeast Asia: Indonesia,
Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand", July 2002. (Published in Journal
of International Financial Markets, 4(5): 170-80, 2002.) 0212 Teuku Rahmatsyah, Gulasekaran Rajaguru and Reza Y. Siregar,
"Exchange Rate Volatility, Trade and “Fixing for Life”
in Thailand", June 2002. (Forthcoming in Japan and The World
Economy). 0210 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen Rajan, "Too Much of a Good
Thing?: The Adequacy of International Reserves in the Aftermath
of Crises", April 2002. (Forthcoming in The World Economy).
0205 Siregar, Reza and Ramkishen Rajan, "Impact of Exchange
Rate Volatility on Indonesia's Trade Performance in the 1990s",
March 2002. 0203 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen Rajan, "The Evolving Asian
Financial Architecture", January 2002. (Revised version published
as a Princeton Essay in International Economics, No. 226,
March-April 2002). 0201 Rajan, Ramkishen, "Safeguarding Against Capital Account
Crises: Unilateral, Regional and Multilateral Options for East Asia",
2002. (Forthcoming in G. de Brouwer (ed.), Financial Arrangements
in East Asia, London: Routledge, 2002.) 0150 Rajan, Ramkishen, "Economic Globalization and Asia:
Trade, Finance and Taxation", 2001. (Published in ASEAN Economic
Bulletin, 18(1), pp.1-11, 2001.) 0149 Rajan, Ramkishen and Iman Sugema, "The Devaluation
of the Thai Baht and a Simple Second Generation Currency Crisis
Model", December 2001. (Published in Economia Internazionale
(International Economics), 55(1): 47-54, 2002.) 0148 Rajan, Ramkishen, "International Financial Flows and
Regional Financial Safeguards in East Asia", December 2001. (Forthcoming
in S.Y. Chia and R. Feinberg (eds.), APEC at the Dawn of the
21st Century, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies: Singapore,
2002.) 0137 Rajan, Ramkishen, “Choosing an appropriate exchange
rate regime for small and open economies”, October 2001. (Paper
prepared for Malaysian Economic Outlook 2001, organized by the Malaysian
Institute for Economic Research, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; forthcoming
as a MIER Briefing Paper in Economics, 2003). 0135 Rajan, Ramkishen and Chung-Hua Shen, “Are Crisis-Devaluations
contractionary?”, September 2001. 0133 Rajan, Ramkishen and Graham Bird, Still the Weakest Link: the Domestic Financial System and Post-Crisis Recovery in East Asia”, July 2001. (Revised version published in Development Policy Review 19 (3), 355-66, 2001.) Download 0132 Rajan, Ramkishen and Bird, Graham, “Banks, Maturity
Mismatches and Liquidity Crises: a Simple Model”, July 2001.
(Forthcoming in Economia Internazionale (International Economics),
2002.) 0131 Montreevat, Sakulrat and Rajan, Ramkishen, “Banking
Crisis, Restructuring and Liberalization in Emerging Economies:
An Analytic Case Study of Thailand”, June 2001. 0128 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Revisiting the Case for a Tobin
Tax Post Asian Crisis: a Financial Safeguard or Financial Bonanza?"
June 2001. (Paper prepared for presentation at a United Nations
Meeting on Resource Mobilisation for Development, New York, June
25-26, 2001. Summarised version published as "The Tobin Tax: A Global
Tax for Global Puposes?", Economic and Political Weekly,
37 (11): 1024-6, March 16, 2002.) 0127 Rajan, Ramkishen S. and Graham Bird, "Regional Arrangements
for Providing Liquidity in a Financial Crisis: Developments in Asia",
June 2001.(Published in Pacific Review 15(3): 359-80, 2002.) 0124 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "On the Road to Recovery? International
Capital Flows and Domestic Financial Reforms in East Asia", May
2001. (Forthcoming in conference proceedings.) 0120 Barnes, Michelle, and Shiguang Ma, "Market Efficiency
or not? The Behaviour of China’s Stock Prices in Response
to the Announcement of Bonus Issues," April 2001. 0119 Ma, Shiguang, and Michelle Barnes, "Are China’s
Stock Markets Really Weak-form Efficient?" April 2001. 0117 Bird, Graham, and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Economic Globalization:
How Far and How Much Further?" April 2001. (Published in World
Economics, 2 (3), pp.1-18, 2001.) 0111 Harris, Richard G., "The New Economy and the Exchange
Rate Regime," March 2001. 0110 Harris, Richard G., "Is there a Case for Exchange Rate
Induced Productivity Changes?", March 2001. 0109 Harris, Richard G., "The New Economy, Globalization
and Regional Trade Agreements", March 2001. 0108 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Economic Globalization and Asia:
Trade, Finance and Taxation", March 2001. (Published in ASEAN
Economic Bulletin, 18(1), pp. 1-11, 2001.) 0107 Chang, Chang Li Lin, Ramkishen S. Rajan, "The Economics
and Politics of Monetary Regionalism in Asia", March 2001. (Published
in ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 18(1), pp.103-18, 2001.) 0105 Manzano, George, "Is there any Value-added in the ASEAN
Surveillance Process?" February 2001. (Published in ASEAN Economic
Bulletin, 18(1), pp. 94-102, 2001). 0050 Allsopp, Louise, "A Model to Explain the Duration of
a Currency Crisis", December 2000. (Since published in International
Journal of Finance & Economics 5: 331-337, (2000).) 0048 Allsopp, Louise, "Common Knowledge and the Value of
Defending a Fixed Exchange Rate", December 2000. (Since published
in Journal of Macroeconomics 24 (1) (Winter 2002).) 0045 Rajan, Ramkishen S., Rahul Sen and Reza Siregar, "Misalignment
of the Baht, Trade Imbalances and the Crisis in Thailand", November
2000. 0044 Graham Bird and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Does FDI Guarantee
Stability of International Capital Flows? Evidence from Malaysia",
November 2000 (Since published in Development Policy Review,
20(2): 191-202, 2002.) 0043 Graham Bird and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Recovery or Recession?
Post-Devaluation Output Performance: The Thai Experience", November
2000. 0042 Rajan, Ramkishen S. and Rahul Sen, " Hong Kong, Singapore
and the East Asian Crisis: How Important Were Trade Spillovers?",
November 2000. (Since published in The World Economy, 25(4):
503-37, 2002.) 0040 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Are Multinational Sales
to Affiliates in High Tax Countries Overpriced? A Simple Illustration",
October 2000. (Published in Economia Internazionale (International
Economics), 53(4): 551-7, 2000.) 0039 Rajan, Ramkishen S., and Reza Siregar, "Private Capital
Flows in East Asia: Boom, Bust and Beyond", September 2000. (Since
published in Financial Markets and Policies in East Asia,
Policies in East Asia edited by G. de Brouwer, Routledge Press:
47-81, 2002.) 0036 Barnes, Michelle L., "Threshold Relationships among
Inflation, Financial Market Development and Growth", August 2000
0033 Nguyen, Tin, "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency,
Speculators, Arbitrageurs and International Capital Flows", July
2000 0031 Rajan, Ramkishen S., and Reza Siregar, "The Vanishing
Intermediate Regime and the Tale of Two Cities: Hong Kong versus
Singapore", July 2000. Revised version published as "The Choice
of Exchange Rate Regime: Currency Board (Hong Kong) or Monitoring
Band (Singapore)?", Australian Economic Papers, 41(4):
538-56, 2002. 0030 Rajan, Ramkishen S., " (Ir)relevance of Currency Crisis
Theory to the Devaluation and Collapse of the Thai Baht", July 2000.
(Revised version published as a Princeton Study in International
Economics No. 88, International Economics Section (formerly
International Finance section), Princeton University, 2000.) 0028 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Currency Basket Regimes for Southeast
Asia: the Worst System with the Exception of All Others", June 2000.
(Revised version published in The World Economy, 25(1): 137-63,
2002 as "Exchange Rate Policy Options for Post-Crisis South East
Asia: is there a Case for Currency Baskets?") 0024 Farrell, Roger, "Research Issues in Japanese Foreign
Direct Investment", May 2000 0014 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Restraining International
Capital Movements: what does it mean?", March 2000 (Published
in Global Economic Quarterly 1 (2): 57-80, 2000.) 0012 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Resolving the
Interest Rate Premium Puzzle: Capital Inflows and Bank Intermediation
in Emerging Economies", March 2000 0003 Francois, Joseph, and Ian Wooton, "Market Structure,
Trade Liberalisation and the GATS", February 2000 0002 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Examining a Case for an Asian
Monetary Fund", January 2000 (Revised version with Graham
Bird published in World Economics, 1 (2), pp. 135-43, 2000).
99/29 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Financial and Macroeconomic
Cooperation in ASEAN: Issues and Policy Initiatives", December 1999.
(Published in Mya Than (ed.), ASEAN: Beyond the Regional Crisis:
Challenges and Initiatives, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies:
Singapore, pp. 126-47, 2000) 99/27 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Fragile Banks, Government Bailouts
and the Collapse of the Thai Baht", November 1999 99/25 Rajan, Ramkishen S. and Iman Sugema, "Capital Flows,
Credit Transmission and the Currency Crisis in Southeast Asia",
November 1999. (Revised version is forthcoming in Journal of
International Development under the title "Why was there a Pre-crisis
Capital Inflows Boom in Southeast Asia?") (with Reza Siregar). 99/23 Asher, Mukul G. and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Globalization
and Tax Structures: Implications for Developing Countries with Particular
Reference to Southeast Asia", October 1999. (Since published in
ASEAN Economic Bulletin, 18(1): 119-139, 2001.) 99/22 Rajan, Ramkishen S. and Iman Sugema, "Government Bailouts
and Monetary Disequilibrium: Common Fundamentals in the Mexican
and East Asian Crises", October 1999. (Revised version published
in North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 11(2),
pp. 123-35, 2000) 99/20 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Not Fixed, Not Floating: What
About Optimal Basket Pegs for Southeast Asia?", September 1999.
(Version entitled "Optimal Currency Baskets and the Third currency
Phenomenon" Exchange Rate Policy in Southeast Asia" with Graham
Bird since published in Journal of International Development,
14(8): 1053-73, 2002. 99/16 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Banks, Finanical
Liberalization and Financial Crises in Emerging Markets", August
1999 (Revised version published in The World Economy, 24
(7): 889-910, 2001). 99/15 Irwin, Gregor and David Vines, "A Krugman-Dooley-Sachs
Third Generation Model of the Asian Finanical Crisis", August 1999.
99/13 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Coping with
and Cashing in on International Capital Volatility", August 1999
(Revised version published in Journal of International Development,
13 (1): 1-23, 2001.) 99/12 Rajan, Ramkishen S., "Banks, Financial Liberalization
and the 'Interest Rate Premium Puzzle' in East Asia", August 1999.
99/11 Bird, Graham and Ramkishen S. Rajan, "Would International
Currency Taxation Help Stabilise Exchange Rates in Developing Countries?",
July 1999 (Revised version published in Journal of Development
Studies, 37(3): 21-38, 2001.) 97/04 Bora, B. and M. K. Lewis, "The Australian Financial System: Evolution, Regulation and Globalisation", April 1997. (Forthcoming in Law and Policy in International Business.) |
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