News: Economic Outlook
University of Adelaide economists expect the South Australian economy will continue to bounce back in 2020/21. However, economic recovery will be weaker than previously thought as a consequence of China’s decision to escalate its trade war with Australia, the outbreak of a second COVID-19 wave in the northern hemisphere, and South Australia’s own mini lockdown in November.
It will take years for the national and South Australian economies to return to full output and employment following the COVID-19 pandemic.
These conclusions are contained in the latest Economic Briefing Report prepared by University of Adelaide economists from the SA Centre for Economic Studies (SACES).
South Australian economic growth will be much slower in 2019/20 as a consequence of the slowdown in the national economy becoming entrenched and the global economy losing further momentum, according to the latest Economic Briefing Report from SACES.
In their latest Economic Briefing Report University of Adelaide economists from SACES are predicting that South Australia’s economic performance will continue to be affected by slowdowns round the country and overseas, as well as weakening employment growth and household spending.
The Australian economy will remain healthy for long enough to enable the government to claim it as a strength in the lead-up to the May election, but the first Conversation Economic Survey points to a fairly flat outlook beyond that, with a 25% chance of a recession in the next two years.